Knowledge Reconstruction Fidelity. The observatory's second experiment asks a question that only becomes meaningful after propagation: once an evaluator has recognized and retrieved Upstream Zero, can it reconstruct the institution faithfully — its identity, claims, relationships, evidence tiers, uncertainty, and theory? This is distinct from EXP-0001 (Knowledge Propagation), and the two are deliberately not merged: recognition and retrieval are the precondition; faithful reconstruction is the thing measured here.
Day 0 evidence is not scored here. Propagation captures collected at Day 0 are baseline observations for EXP-0001. Reconstruction scoring applies only to responses in which the evaluator has already recognized and retrieved the entity; attaching Day 0 propagation captures to reconstruction scoring would confound the two experiments.
Motivating example (external — not evidence produced by Upstream Zero): the Inspired Taste case, in which visibility and citation coexisted with a failure of representation fidelity. It demonstrates that being cited is not the same as being reconstructed faithfully — the exact pattern this experiment is built to measure. It motivates the question; it evidences no finding of ours.
Status honesty: this is a draft protocol, held privately until it is formally pre-registered. It has not been pre-registered, no data has been collected, and its predictions are Narrated intuitions registered so that reality can falsify them. On pre-registration the protocol and its frozen materials become published research objects here. Pre-registration requires founder approval (FD-8); when it happens, this object's status change will be a recorded Revision.
Predictions — registered before results
- At least one retrieval-capable evaluator cites upstreamzero.com for a basic identity prompt within the observation window
- Tier flattening is the modal failure — evaluators restate the company's Narrated founding claims as established fact
- Machine surfaces (graph.json, object JSON) are not used unprompted; they appear only when verification is explicitly requested, if at all
- The optimization-agency misread (describing Upstream Zero as an SEO/AEO/AI-visibility agency) occurs at least once
- Published refutation conditions rarely survive reconstruction — uncertainty is the first thing an evaluator drops